The Weekend’s Polls, 3.1

Posted: January 3rd, 2009 | Author: | Filed under: elections, Polls, war | Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments »

There are two new polls this weekend, and three altogether since the fighting in Gaza began.

The channel 10 poll was taken just as the operation began, and published early this week (I posted it here as well). Haaretz and Maariv polls were conducted later on and published on Thursday and Friday, respectively. Therefore, it’s interesting to note that all three polls show similar results – Labor getting considerably stronger, to 16 MKs, while the Likud and Right wing parties are loosing some ground.

Kadima also benefits from the war so far. But what’s more important for its leader, Tzipi Livni, is that all polls show the Left-Center Block (Kadima + Labor + Meretz + Arab Parties) at a draw or even leading over the Right-Orthodox Block (Likud + Israel Beitenu + Habait Hayehudi + Shas + Yahadut Hatorah). In the Israeli Parliamentary system, it is the leader of the bigger block, and not the bigger party, who will form the next coalition and become PM.

Both The Greens and the senior citizen’s party, Gil, don’t make it to the Knesset in these polls, thus proving again that when the conflict with the Palestinians takes over, it’s practically impossible to push a different agenda.

Here are the numbers and their average (in the grey column). You can see the two blocks on the bottom. Notice that for some reason, the Channel 10 poll adds up to only 118 MKs.

 

polls-311

All pollsters began referring to the Arab parties by their name (”Hadash”, “Balad” and “Raam”), rather than including them under the general “Arab parties” category, as they were ordered to do by The chairman of the Elections Committee, Supreme Court Judge Eliezer Rivlin. I grouped them here for the last time, and starting from next week, I will show each party’s average separately.


2 Comments on “The Weekend’s Polls, 3.1”

  1. 1 Promised Land » Blog Archive » Today’s polls, Jan 8 said at 10:08 pm on January 8th, 2009:

    [...] strengthening in the polls, which we attributed to the war in Gaza, has reached a halt. Ehud Barak has now [...]

  2. 2 Promised Land Blog » Blog Archive » Today’s polls, Jan 8 said at 9:10 am on January 18th, 2009:

    [...] strengthening in the polls, which we attributed to the war in Gaza, has reached a halt. Ehud Barak has now [...]